Service Plays Sunday 12/06/09

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NFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 6

Game 337-338: Denver at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.820; Kansas City 125.987
Dunkel Line: Denver by 2; 41
Vegas Line: Denver by 5; 38
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+5); Over

Game 339-340: Oakland at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 123.187; Pittsburgh 136.697
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 14 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+14 1/2); Under

Game 341-342: Houston at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.883; Jacksonville 129.844
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5; 51
Vegas Line: Pick; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston; Over

Game 343-344: Tennessee at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 136.723; Indianapolis 140.940
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+7); Under

Game 345-346: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.884; Atlanta 130.824
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 7; 42
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 5 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-5 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: Detroit at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 116.885; Cincinnati 136.320
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 19 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 13; 42
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-13); Over

Game 349-350: New Orleans at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 142.560; Washington 131.799
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 11; 50
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-9 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 126.674; Carolina 132.349
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Carolina by 6 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+6 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: St. Louis at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 122.252; Chicago 128.010
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Chicago by 9 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+9 1/2); Over

Game 355-356: San Diego at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.005; Cleveland 121.884
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 14; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 13; 43
Dunkel Pick San Diego (-13); Over

Game 357-358: San Francisco at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 131.079; Seattle 126.405
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Seattle by 1; 41
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+1); Under

Game 359-360: Minnesota at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 141.972; Arizona 138.628
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4 1/2); Over

Game 361-362: Dallas at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 134.441; NY Giants 135.456
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 2 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2 1/2); Under
 

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YourProLocks

NFL:
15 Dime: KC Chiefs (+5)
20 Dime : Redskins (+10) *buy half pt if you have it at 9.5, buy up to 10.5 if you have it at 10*
30 Dime : Colts (-6.5)
 

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Sirduke Sports

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirduke Sports</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>12/6/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Attack Dog</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>343</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Tennessee Titans +7</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>11*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>12/6/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Members</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>348</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Cincinnati Bengals -13</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>7*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>12/6/2009</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>8:35:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Members</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>366</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Green Bay Packers -3</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>7*</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>
 

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LANG on PHILLY DAILY BEWS LIVE

ATLANTA + 5.5
TITANS +7
WASHINGTON + 9.5 ( buy the half to 10 )
HOUSTON PICK
DALLAS - 2 ( two for the $ )
 
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Wunderdog

Game: Minnesota at Arizona (Sunday 12/06 8:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +3.5 (-120)

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Minnesota is overrated. More on this in a minute. The good news for the Cards is that the status of Kurt Warner, who sat out last week's game with a concussion, is listed as probable for this big game vs. Minnesota. Arizona gets a lot of ink regarding Warner, Fitzgerald and Boldin and their play-making offense, but the defense has done some catching up. The yardage numbers aren't pretty as they rank No. 24 in yards allowed, but the one that counts the most is points allowed, where they are No. 13. They have only allowed two teams to score more than 21 points in nine games this season. Arizona has been a hot team and are 6-2 in their last eight and really should be 7-1 if not for the old "prevent defense" and a lot of bad luck that allowed Tennessee to march 99 yards for the winning score as time ran out last week. This team has taken on the "big game" philosophy as they really seem to be at their best as a FG favorite or less, or as a dog at home where they have cashed eight of their last ten. They show up most in the biggest games as tehyh are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. teams at .750 or better. Over the past three seasons, they are 9-1 ATS vs. teams like Minnesota that outscore their opponents by 6+ ppg. The Vikings have been living on home cooking, and believe it or not, have not played on the road in over a month. They have had three straight at home after their bye week, so this will be their first time on the road since November 1, and should find the going a lot more difficult. They have had road tilts vs. St. Louis, Detroit and Cleveland, and this one will be different without the home fans pumping them up. In their only real road test this year (vs. Pitt), the Vikes suffered their lone defeat of the season. Back to the fact that Minnesota is overrated. This is a good team, but not as good as it may appear on the surface. Minnesota has had the pleasure of feasting on the easiest schedule inthe NFL. They have played Cleveland, Detroit (twice), St. Louis, Seattle, San Francisco and Chicago. Their opponents for 2009 went just .420 last season and this season they are holding form. The Vikes have played just three winning teams all year and two of those teams (Pitt and Balt) are barely above .500. On top of all that, this team has had an inordinate amount of luck. Their best players have remained healthy, and they are +8 in turnovers (ranked in the top 5 in the NFL). When/if that luck evens out, this team won't look as powerful as they have. Finally, Arizona is 8-1 ATS at home the past three seasons when coming off a loss. I like Arizona plus the points here in a game that, with a healthy Warner, they can win outright.
 

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Steve Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK COSTA RICA CONNECTION

25 DIME RELEASE

New England

I got this play at 2:00 Eastern on Friday afternoon. At that time the line was -4 just about everywhere in Vegas and offshore. If you have -4 - or even -4 1/2 - I want you to buy down the 1/2 point for insurance no matter the case.

Backstory regarding this game:

In the three years I've been bringing you plays from the various betting crews I've relied on, this is the earliest I've ever had a Sunday NFL selection. When I got the call - and when I found out what the game was - I was not surprised.

In case you were not aware, the New England-Miami game was taken off the board briefly very late Thursday afternoon when a report - that later proved to be false - surfaced that Tom Brady did not practice. Prior to the report, New England was -5 1/2 with a few -5's to be found if you looked hard enough. After the error was clarified, the game was put back on the board but the price settled at -4.
 
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dover picks

chargers 4 units

saints 3 units

jets 2 units

colts 1 unit


phi/atl over 43 2 units
oak/pitt under 38 2 units
minn/ariz over 48 1 unit
 
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Teddy Covers:

NFL Pittsburgh -14.5 (340)
NFL Tennessee +6.5 (343)
NFL St. Louis +9.5 (353)

NFL 20* Big Ticket: San Francisco Pk (357)
 
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Norm Hitzges

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NFL
Double Plays

· Dallas -2.5 vs NYG

· Denver -5 vs KC

· New England -4 vs Miami

· Green Bay -3 vs Baltimore

Single Plays

· Tennessee +6.5 vs Indy

· Houston pk vs Jacksonville

· Philly -5 vs Atlanta

· San Diego -13 vs Cleveland

· Pittsburgh -13.5 vs Oakland

· Carolina/Tampa Under 40

· Indy/Tennessee Under 47
 
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Vegas Vic

FALCONS (+5) over Eagles
Took the bundle with the Redskins last week and got the cover, and while 5 ain't quite as big a bundle, Vic is buying the home team. However, we're expecting a similar scenario, where the Birds win, but just by a fingernail. So you're questioning my mental capability picking the Falcons without their fabulous young QB, Matt Ryan? Understood. Chris Redman, the backup, who had a superb career at Louisville, stepped in for Ryan in the first quarter of Sunday's game against Tampa Bay, and hit on 23 of 41 for 243 yards and two touchdowns. Not too shabby for a No. 2. Then there's Atlanta's record at home the last 2 years, which is sitting at a very healthy 12-1. Kinda tough to buck that number. But because of the questionable status of RB Michael Turner, we'll keep this selection on the light side.

Titans (+7) over COLTS
What do you do when you're 11-0 and have clinched the AFC South and a spot in the playoffs? We'll find out Sunday. Don't think that Indy will start resting players just yet, but they can't possibly bring the same intensity Sunday as they did for the last three games (New England, Baltimore and Houston). Now the Horseshoes have to deal with a Tennessee team that has absolutely no resemblance to the team they beat in Nashville in October, 31-9. Since the bye, the Titans have rocked with a perfect 5-0 straight-up mark, and 4-1 against the spread. Vince Young has been a revelation, while all Chris Johnson has done is lead the entire NFL in rushing, with 1,396 yards. Since Jeff Fisher's kids have covered five of the last seven against the Colts and have a boatload of confidence, they should be able to get another spread W inside the Lucas Oil barn.

STEELERS (-14) over Raiders
Big Ben is back, and boy does Pittsburgh need him now. The Steelers have dropped three in a row, which happens about as often as Tiger Woods ... oh, never mind. They have not dropped four in a row since the 2003 season, and it ain't gonna happen here. The Steelers are 10-1 in their last 11 at home, while Oakland has covered only three of its last nine. Feeling a big, fat bagel for the Silver & Black, with Pitt dropping a 24 spot on the visitors.

REDSKINS (+10) over Saints
If Sean Payton can get his players back at a fever pitch only 6 days after smothering the Patriots in a game that everyone acknowledged was a huge statement, then he is the best coach in the NFL. And I'll never doubt New Orleans again. But we feel that double digits is worth a shot. Washington is on a 3-0 spread roll, and has won 10 of the last 13 against the Saints, including an impressive 19-14 victory in D.C. last season.

PACKERS (-3) over Ravens.
Really like what Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay have done since the bye week, winning five of seven, straight up and against the spread. And if we're talking defense, most people would think Baltimore, but under defensive coordinator Dom Capers, Green Bay has allowed a league-low 281.5 yards per game. Don't forget that Ravens QB Joe Flacco is still fighting a sprained ankle, which is why Baltimore has averaged only 14.5 points the last four games.

GIANTS (+2) over Cowboys
Despite the recent tumble (losing five of the last six), the New Yorkers always are ready for the hated invaders from the Big D, covering four of the last five games at home against the 'Boys.

BROWNS (+13) over Chargers
San Diego is coming off two big division wins (32-3 over Denver and 43-14 over KC) and is flying to Dallas next week. How could the Lightning Bolts possibly be interested in this game? They can't, but will still win by 10.

CHIEFS (+5) over Broncos
KC has won five of the last six at home against Denver, so we like the 'dog.

Texans (Pick) over JAGUARS
Houston has covered 11 of the last 15 against Jax, so we'll open the wallet, but just a hair.

BENGALS (-13) over Lions
Since Detroit has won only two of its last 25, Cincy looks pretty solid, but the number is huge, so stay light.

Buccaneers (+6) over PANTHERS
If Carolina is gonna roll with Matt Moore in his first NFL start, we gotta tickle Tampa.

BEARS (-9) over Rams
Chicago is desperate for a win, and St. Louis just happens to be coming to town.

SEAHAWKS (Pick) over 49ers
Seattle has covered five of the last seven at home, while SF has won only four of the last 15 on the road.

CARDINALS (+4) over Vikings
Looks as if Kurt Warner is a go after the concussion, and that will make all the difference.

Patriots (-3) over DOLPHINS
Just got word that Tom Brady is questionable, so this pick could become iffy by game time.
 
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Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 33-31 –3.60%

3% DENVER -4.5
3% PHILADELPHIA -5.5
3% SAN FRANCISCO PK
3% GREEN BAY -3.5
3% HOUSTON/JACKSONVILLE OVER 46.5
3% NEW ENGLAND/MIAMI OVER 45.5
 
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Maddux

#337 - NFL - 5 units on Denver & Kansas City Over 38.5
#340 - NFL - 3 units on Pittsburgh -14.5
#350 - NFL - 3 units on Washington +9.5
#360 - NFL - 3 units on Arizona +3.5
#363 - NFL - 3 units on New England & Miami Over 45.5
 

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Top contestant in hilton contest
(40-20): Tenn / tampa / chic / ariz / ne

==============================

bottom contestant
(21-39): Dnvr / philly / sd / minn / dall
 

ugk

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ALLEN EASTMAN (Ace-Ace) 12/6

$300.00 Take #345 Philadelphia (-5) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
Philadelphia is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games against the Falcons and I just don’t think that Atlanta will have enough offensively in this game without Matt Ryan and with a banged up Michael Turner.

$300.00 Take #337 Denver (-5) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
Denver scored a big win on Thursday over the Giants and now they are going to take advantage of playing one of the worst teams in the NFL. This line should be double what it is. When the Chiefs lose they usually get blown out as only two of their losses this year were by three points or less. Denver has played a brutal schedule and they are more prepared for this game.

$300.00 Take #351 Tampa Bay (+6) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
Matt Moore is starting for Carolina instead of Jake Delhomme. And while Delhomme hasn’t been very good this year he is still a veteran quarterback that can take care of business. Tampa Bay has covered three of its last four games and they are playing with some spunk right now. Carolina doesn’t have anything to play for and besides Delhomme their running backs are banged up as well. I think Tampa can win this one outright.

$300.00 Take #353 St. Louis (+9.5) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
There is no reason why the Bears are laying this many points to any team in the NFL. St. Louis has played tough on the road this year and has covered the spread in three of four away from home this year. The Bears are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games and they were outgained by nearly 400 yards against the Vikings. There is no reason for them to be laying this many points.

$2500.00 Take #359 Minnesota (-3) over Arizona (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
This is a 99 System play and it is my Game of the Week. I think that Minnesota is just a much stronger team here and that they are playing at a much higher level than Arizona right now. The problems that Arizona has in its secondary are going to be exploited by Brett Favre and the potent Vikings passing game. The Cardinals also enter this game not knowing who is going to be the quarterback. They lost a heartbreaker last week and since they know that no one in the division is going to catch them the Cards aren’t exactly motivated to play. I like the Vikings in a romp.

$2000.00 Take #361 Dallas (-1) over New York Giants (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)
This is a 99 System play. Dallas has been playing much better football over the last month and the Giants just continue to not cover spreads. They haven’t covered a spread in a month-and-a-half and this is just not a very strong football team right now. The Giants are really banged up and this is a revenge spot for the Cowboys. Dallas lost at home to the Giants earlier in the season in a game where the Giants got all the breaks. Dallas gets payback here and this line is a gift.

$2000.00 Take #366 Green Bay (-3) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7)
This is a 99 System play. I am going to the home team here as it looks like the Packers have gotten things going. They have won three straight and they had some extra time to rest and prepare for this game. Baltimore is in a spot where they could have a letdown after beating rival Pittsburgh in overtime. Baltimore is just 1-3 ATS in its last four games and after tough games against Indy and Pittsburgh I wonder how much energy they will have for this key game. GB has the top defense in the NFL and they are 3-1 ATS in their last four home games.
 

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DOC SPORTS
5 Unit Play. #45 Take Tennessee +7 over Indianapolis (Sunday 1 pm CBS) NFL Game of the Year. New Orleans 27, Washington 23.
 
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UNLOCKED SPORTS
NFL freeplays

2* San Diego -13

2* Detroit +13
 

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BULLSEYE SPORTS
362 New York Giants Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants Top 12/06/09 4:15PM Top Dog

354 Chicago Bears St. Louis Rams
Chicago Bears Top 12/06/09 1:00PM 5 Star Top

338 Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs Top 12/06/09 1:00PM Upset Spe
 

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